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BCA Insights

BCA Research’s mission is to shape the level of conviction with which our clients make investment decisions. One way we do this is by delivering forecasts and leading-edge analysis of all the major asset classes and economies. Gain insight into our independent global macro research through these complimentary reports

China’s $100 Trillion Housing Bubble Reaches Its Limit

The Chinese government will ensure that its housing market adjustment does not come from a collapse in home prices, but from a reduction in housing development and construction activity. Yet too rapid an adjustment is dangerous, because housing-driven sectors account for over a quarter of China’s economy and jobs. The Chinese government will tread a fine line to avoid a collapse in home prices at one extreme, or a collapse in employment at the other extreme.

Counterpoint