12 October 2023
Chinese Automakers: Surging Exports, Mediocre Domestic Sales

Domestic auto sales in China will likely have anemic growth over the next three years. Consumer willingness to spend on automobiles will remain downbeat at least into next year. Yet, Chinese auto...
17 August 2023
China: Diagnosing Malaise

Even though many commentators use notions like debt deflation, balance sheet recession, and liquidity trap interchangeably, they are not identical. In a balance sheet recession, households and...
25 July 2023
China’s Stimulus: Necessary But Not Sufficient

The latest Politburo meeting has provided little visibility on stimulus from the Chinese government. Its statement was short on details. On a positive note, the announcement did not contain the...