17 October 2023
The Math Behind Trump’s Nomination
Trump is lined up to win the Republican presidential nomination by March 19, 2024. That is the implication from public opinion polling in key states, projected across the US’s major regions and...
12 September 2023
Probabilities For The US Primary Election
Presidents Biden and Trump are all but locked into their party’s nominations for the 2024 election. A competitive primary is still conceivable, for either party, but the consensus has rightly shifted...
17 August 2023
Is The 2024 Election Relevant To Investors?
The 2024 election is relevant but not necessarily in the way that many think. It is not American democracy that is at risk so much as fiscal stability and global trade. Geopolitical risk and policy...
